Smart Real Estate News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin, February 19, 2010

by admin on February 19, 2010

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Fed raises discount rate

The Federal Reserve said yesterday it is raising the rate it charges banks that borrow from the central bank when they run short of funds by a quarter percentage point, or 25 basis points, to 0.75%. The central bank said in a statement it made the move in response to improving financial market conditions.  Don’t everyone panic here, because the move is largely symbolic – banks do little borrowing at the discount window and the discount rate has no effect on the more widely watched federal funds rate, which measures the rate banks charge each other for overnight loans. That rate is expected to remain between 0% and 0.25% for the foreseeable future, given the slack in the labor market and the still fragile state of the economy.  But raising the discount rate allows Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke to take another small step toward normal monetary policy, after the past two last years of  financial firefight.  The Fed also shortened the term of some discount window loans and raised the minimum bid in the term auction facilities it uses to supply overnight funds to banks. The central bank said Thursday’s increase should “encourage depository institutions to rely on private funding markets for short-term credit and to use the Federal Reserve’s primary credit facility only as a backup source of funds” and added that it will “assess over time whether further increases in the spread are appropriate.”  It added: “The modifications are not expected to lead to tighter financial conditions for households and businesses and do not signal any change in the outlook for the economy or for monetary policy.”

Another program, another $1.5 billion

President Obama is expected to announce today another $1.5 billion program to help borrowers in the five states hit hardest by the housing crisis.  California, Arizona, Nevada, Florida and Michigan will all share more money to fund programs to prevent foreclosure for people who are unemployed or who owe more than their homes are worth.  The funds will be allocated based on a formula that takes into account home price declines and unemployment. The agencies’ programs must be approved by the Treasury Department.  The move is the administration’s latest attempt to fix its signature foreclosure-prevention effort, the Home Affordable Modification Program, which has been widely panned for not doing enough. A senior Obama official cautioned that the new program is just another tool in the White House arsenal, not a full solution to the housing woes facing the unemployed and underwater.  “As important as $1.5 billion will be to these five states, it’s not going to solve what is a catastrophically large problem,” said the official, speaking to reporters on a conference call. “It’s going to help as many of the other programs do.”  The senior administration official was vague about how the money would help the target audiences, saying mainly that these groups are intimately involved in their local housing markets.  In other words, when in doubt, throw more money at it.

DSNews.com – homeowners pessimistic on home value

According to a new report from real estate data provider Zillow, American homeowners’ confidence in their own homes’ values has fallen to the lowest level on record.  Just one in five homeowners believe their property value increased during 2009, but Zillow says in fact, 28 percent of homes appreciated during the year. It’s the first time in the history of the Seattle-based company’s survey that such a large percentage of homeowners have underestimated their home’s value.  The Zillow Home Value Misperception Index was -2 in the fourth quarter. A Misperception Index of zero would mean homeowners perceptions’ were in line with actual values. The closest it’s ever come to that until now, was in the second quarter of 2008, when the index was at 32.  Zillow says a negative Misperception Index indicates that homeowners are “overly cynical” about their own homes’ values when compared with reality. This is the first time the national index was negative.  However, Dr. Stan Humphries, Zillow chief economist, noted that almost three times as many people currently believe their home’s value will increase over the next six months as believe it will decrease in value – a level of optimism he says is likely to outpace actual performance in the near-term.  Humphries says given recent news about the stabilization of home values in some markets, it’s easy to understand why some homeowners are optimistic. “However, home values in many markets are still under substantial downward pressure from high levels of foreclosures and we don’t believe we’ll see a definitive bottom nationally until the second quarter of this year.

Inflation up over year, down over month

According to the Labor Department, the Consumer Price Index rose 2.6% during the past 12 months.  The core CPI, which is more closely watched by economists because it strips out volatile food and energy prices, rose 1.6% over the past year.  For the month of January, overall prices rose 0.2%. Economists surveyed by Briefing.com and Reuters had forecast a 0.3% rise.  However, prices excluding food and energy fell for the first time since 1982, supporting the Federal Reserve’s contention it would keep its benchmark interest rate low for an “extended period.”  Consumer energy costs soared 2.8 percent last month after rising 0.8 percent in December. Food prices climbed 0.2 percent following a 0.1 percent gain in December.  Stripping out volatile energy and food prices, the closely watched core measure of consumer inflation fell 0.1 percent in January, the first decline since December 1982. Core prices rose 0.1 percent the prior month.  Analysts had expected core prices to rise 0.1 percent. Core prices were pulled down by declining costs for new vehicles, shelter and airline fares. High vacancy rates are keeping rentals depressed.  Compared to January last year, the core inflation rate rose 1.6 percent after increasing 1.8 percent in December.  Quarterly forecasts released by the Fed on Wednesday showed policymakers expect inflation to remain muted through 2012.

Foreclosure and modification scams on the rise

The Financial Crimes Enforcement Network (FinCEN), an overseeer of financial activities for the US Treasury, says it received hundreds of suspicious activity reports (SARs) regarding foreclosure and modification scams.  In the third quarter of 2009, depository institution filers submitted 15,697 mortgage loan fraud SARs, a 7.5% increase over the same period in 2008.  The primary suspicious activity surrounding loan modifications deal with occupancy misrepresentation, social security number discrepancies, and altered or forged documentation, the government agency said.  “Subjects of these reports primarily have been borrowers, though filers also reported industry insiders as subjects, including loan officers, underwriters, and purported loan modification agents,” said a FinCEN statement today updating progress made since April’s red flag advisory. “SARs involving loan modifications described potential fraud in either the application for the loan modification, or in the older loan which came under review subsequent to the modification application.”  California and Florida originated the most overall mortgage loan SARs, at 6,444 and 5,077 respectively. New York is a distant third at 1,614.

Now on to our real estate investing educational section…

Double Your Income in Real Estate

Sick and tired of “feel good” motivational books that promise the world but deliver little in terms of your net worth? Good. Perhaps you are ready to make real profits rather than listening to empty promises. Real estate has historically been one of the leading roads to wealth for average American’s seeking a better life but it also has more than its share of casualties lost along the way. Survey’s show the average real estate professional makes less than $50,000 a year…many as little as $15,000 annually….a comparable rate to just one or two quick short sales done right.

Is it really possible to double your income in real estate? Absolutely. The key to any type of sales related area is word of mouth marketing. Duh right…of course! But we aren’t talking about just any word of mouth marketing…no, we are talking about WORD OF MOUTH on steroids; developing the type of “A” list others would only dream about. Creating such demand for your services that the “B” list becomes a secondary source of referral income simply because you are too busy to handle it.

Before we get into the nuts and bolts of what it takes to double your income in real estate, let’s first define what this isn’t…

1. This isn’t a spiel about how “service is its own reward”. Let’s face it, if service were its own reward you could spend more time at the local volunteer center any day of the week. Hard work deserves a real reward – the type you can take to the bank.

2. This isn’t a long term process that promises to pay off in ten, twenty or thirty years. Chances are you have been taught time and time again that there are “no shortcuts in selling”. Bunk! Of course there are shortcuts in selling and they are used all the time by those that thrive rather than barely survive! The rest of the crew is kept in line by scavenging the bottom for the few that fall through the cracks. Move up the food chain and learn to play the game like the big boys.

3.  This isn’t about toxic attitudes or how to “win friends and influence people”; the system works just as well whether you are an untamed punk or stodgy old fart.

4. This isn’t about the history of real estate – knowing that never made anyone richer but it’s bored a lot of people along the way.

What this is about is generating an “A” list that would be the envy of every real estate agent in the nation. The type of list other spend an entire career to generate. Plain and simple it’s all about your sphere of influence – it’s a numbers game in the most literal manner. Numbers don’t lie but they are tough for the average agent to muster. Y’know the rules; begin with friends and family then hit up church groups and social clubs…then wait for others to hopefully mention your name when the time comes for someone to buy or sell. That’s not a strategy – it’s an antiquated popularity contest. Fortunately the rules have been re-written thanks to technology and social networking that expands your reach far beyond anything possible during the days of “business cards”. True exponential growth isn’t just possible but actually probably when used properly. Find out more with a quick visit to www.ordersmr.com to find out how to double, triple or even quadruple your real estate income.

See you at the top!

Chris McLaughlin
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Copyright Loss Mitigation Institute LLC 2009.

All Rights Reserved.

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Finally, a blog for Real Estate professionals
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About the author:

Chris McLaughlin is widely known as America’s top
Real Estate Attorney and Investment Consultant.

    * As the top Florida foreclosure and pre-
      foreclosure expert, he oversees more than
      100 short sale & REO closings each month
   * Long-time authority on real estate investing
      and rapid reselling of distressed homes.  Owns
      portfolio of nearly 100 high-value, high-profit
     properties
    * Owner of one of Florida’s largest Real Estate firms,
     running 4 different offices, supporting over
     400 agents, uniquely positioning him to help
     thousands of investors make money in the
     biggest market opportunity ever!
    * Highly sought-after speaker, consultant, and
      seminar leader for current trends and hot topics
      in Real Estate Investing, Entrepreneurship, and
      Wealth Building
    * Follow me on Twitter: http://twitter.com/mclaughlinchris
    * Join my Facebook Fan Page: http://www.mclaughlinchris.com

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