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Market Mania Takes Hold as Investors Panic

by Chris McLaughlin on October 6, 2008

Stocks Plunge to 5 Year Lows as Investors Panic

Market News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin, October 6, 2008
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html

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WEBINAR REMINDER:

 

Join us Tuesday at 9 PM EST, 6 PM PST for our fr’ee Webinar that will reveal the Top 12 Strategies on Getting Rich with Short Sales by clicking here:

 

https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/967993793

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Panic.  Mania.  Free Fall. Think of a lot of really bad adjectives and just put them next to the word “stock market” and you pretty much have summed up how bad it was today after lunchtime.  The market plunged over 800 points, touching a level of 9,497.72, a level not seen since October 23, 2003.  But bargain hunters jumped in at the last minute, with the Dow ending the day down 369.88 to 9,955.50.   Fears of global recession sent oil below $90 a barrel, and while the stock market was “only down 369” at the end of the day, investors fear that more carnage may be ahead.

In a real sign of that potential carnage, a CNN/Opinion Research Cop. poll showed that almost 60% of Americans believed that a depression, with 25% unemployment and extensive bank failures, was at least “somewhat likely.”

In real estate related news, the Federal Reserve said that it would lend up to $900 billion in cash to help break the credit crunch adversely affecting banks and consumers.  The Fed said its 84-day and 28-day loans that are made to banks will increase by $150 billion each, which adds to the $600 billion already available.  “Together these actions should encourage term lending across a range of financial markets in a manner that eases pressures and promotes the ability of firms and households to obtain credit,” the Fed said.

 

Now, onto our real estate investor education section…

 

Bonus Depreciation: More Reason than Ever to Buy Short Sales in 2008

Searching for even more reasons to start buying short sales sooner rather than later? Today we will take a few minutes to add to the previously mentioned items on why short sales make more sense now than ever before: Bonus Depreciation for 2008. If eligible, the additional depreciation allows you to take an additional 50 percent depreciation of the qualifying property in the first year – a hefty write-off to be sure!

As part of the stimulus package approved by congress earlier this year, many short sale investors may be eligible for a small windfall in the form of bonus depreciation. The 2008 bonus depreciation covers more than real estate; depending upon qualifying criteria, it may cover tools, software, leaseholds and a host of other potential assets related to your short sale investments. To qualify, the property must conform to one of the following:

·        Eligible for the MACRS (Modified Accelerated Cost Recovery System) with a depreciation period of 20 years or less.

·        Tangible property including equipment, a qualified leasehold property, water utility property, non-proprietary software program.

·        Acquired in 2008 via a binding contract or manufacture, construction or production started during 2008. The contract and work must be dated after January 1, 2008 to qualify.

A few important facts to keep in mind…

1.     Bonus depreciation for 2008 can be combined with Sec 179 expensing for even greater savings!

2.     The depreciation bonus is due to expire at the end of 2008 for equipment, software and other purchases with a depreciation schedule less than ten years but has now been extended until the end of 2009 for items (like real estate) with depreciation schedules greater than 20 years.

3.     Bonus depreciation is discretionary – you are not required to claim it. If you are concerned over large tax bills in the future then it may be better to take the tax hit today and leave additional depreciation available in the future. Remember, depreciation must be recaptured when you sell a property – it is separate from Capital Gains taxes.

4.     Bonus depreciation is allowed for those filing AMT or regular taxes.

Ok, enough about depreciation, I know it isn’t your most exciting topic, but you need to see all the opportunities out there!  I held a conference call today with realtors and investors focused on short sales and continued my drum beat: some of us will come out of this turmoil making more money than ever before.  I don’t know about you, but I plan on being on the winning side of the equation.  Henry David Thoreau said “Most men lead lives of quiet desperation and go to the grave with the song still in them.”  That group of men has a lot of people that joined it today.  I refuse to be a participant.

 

I know it is tough out there.  Your 401(k) stinks, your home equity seems non-existent, and your income compared to last year is way off.  So you can join the group of quiet desperation, and you can get all depressed about how things are.  Or you can say, you know what, this is what separates the leaders from the pretenders.   This is what will set up my business for the next decade.  This is the moment.  This is the time.  Now go seize it!

 

More on Tuesday …


Chris McLaughlin, J.D., M.B.A.
web:
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html
e-mail:
info@shortsalesriches.com

Phone: (800) 452-7627

P.S.: 

Want to know how you can pull in six figures a month doing short sales on autopilot?  Nathan is on track for another $100k month…  Join us for our fr’ee Webinar that will reveal the Top 12 Strategies on Getting Rich with Short Sales:

 

https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/967993793

 

P.P.S.: If you want to have a great laugh, check out this latest  YouTube video about Nathan’s autopilot system where he doesn’t talk to banks, doesn’t talk to sellers, and doesn’t talk to buyer.  What does he do?  Click here to find out:

 

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QsOLmgTY–U

 

and if you like what you see in the video, then go here and take action:

 

http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html

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The Ritz Cracker Eats AIG As Mortgage Woes Create Unprecedented Opportunity

by Chris McLaughlin on September 18, 2008

Well you don’t have to worry about AIG bringing down the Dow Jones Industrial Average anymore…the Ritz cracker just ate AIG.  Yep, Kraft Foods will replace AIG in the Dow Jones next week.  We’ve gone from insurance to mac and cheese.  At least my 3 kids, all under the age of 4, will be happy.

 

And President Bush attempted to calm markets as well and indicated that the government bailouts of Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, and AIG were essential to keep the economy sound. “These actions are necessary and important, and the markets are adjusting to them,” the President noted.

 

Adjusting? Panicking seems more like it, huh?

 

Washington Mutual continued to find itself a suitor today, but The Wall Street Journal reported that Citigroup didn’t want to get engaged just yet.  Morgan Stanley is rumored to have been thinking about dating and possibly proposing to Wachovia Bank, but a few Asian banks—and perhaps that Chinese government itself, might come to the rescue of the firm.

 

Politics took center stage today as well.  Republican Presidential candidate John McCain, seeking to put some distance between him and President Bush, said he would fire Securities and Exchange Commissioner Christopher Cox.  The chairman of the SEC serves at the appointment of the president and in my view has betrayed the public’s trust,” McCain stated. “If I were President today, I would fire him.”

 

How does this affect Main Street?  Well money markets are getting a little jittery these days.  These funds invest in short-term corporate and government bonds, but they have taken a hit as of late due to significant redemptions.  The Primary Fund RFIXX went below a benchmark of $1, which meant that if someone held money in these funds they would actually lost money, not make money.  The Primary Fund had around $40 billion in withdrawals since last Friday.  And Putnam Investments said it was now closing its $15 billion Prime  

 

What good news was out there?  In a move reminiscent of the Resolution Trust Corporation (remember the good ole’ days of the S&L Crisis), US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson is developing up a plan to take the bad debts from banks and investment houses and package them up for an orderly sale.  That sent stocks higher today, with the Dow Jones finishing the day up over 400 points. 

 

So let’s get this straight.  Mom and Pop don’t have much money anymore, but what little money they do have is now losing money in what some folks thought was risk free, a money market fund, for the first time ever.  Major financial institutions like Morgan Stanley and AIG are teetering.  Credit has tightened beyond all recognition and the thought of getting a loan that isn’t government backed is laughable.

 

But I still here from some Realtors that foreclosures are just gonna be here for just another year.  Well, if you think they aren’t here for the next 3 years, in this economy with this type of financial turmoil, you might as well grab some of those Ritz crackers and have a pity party now, because it isn’t going to happen.

 

But it is the single biggest gift many of us will ever be given in our lifetime.  Wherever the public runs one way, I say run the other.  And I have made a lot of money because of it.  When a sink hole drained a local lake in my hometown, where all the fancy houses were located, I made a low ball offer on a house a few days later when everyone was freaking out thinking the lake would be a swamp.  As I type this, I’m staring over a beautiful lake with a magnificent view of the water.   The story is true, by the way… just Google the words “sinkhole McLaughlin buy dry sell high” for a funny story on it.

 

So remember … in this market, you can now buy low, and not sell high, but sell fast.  And that means less risk, less holding costs, and money in the bank.  But you have to do more than read this and agree … you need to take action, too.

 

I’m loving this market more and more each day.  The real estate market, that is.

 

 

Chris McLaughlin

Web: http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome

e-mail: info@shortsalesriches.com

Phone: (800) 452-7627

P.S.: P.P.S.: Nathan just told me he will be closing 20 homes within the next 30 days.  Not bad for a kid that was home schooled with no formal education, huh?  All the guys with the fancy education work(ed) at Lehman, Bear Stearns, AIG, Fannie, Freddie, and other banks .. hmm… kinda ironic ain’t it?  Check his secrets out at: http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome

P.P.S.: Want to comment on this article?  Go to the blog!  It is located at http://www.shortsalesriches.com/blog. 

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Dow Jones Tanks, AIG Plunges, Morgan Stanley Drops…But Short Sales Soar

by Chris McLaughlin on September 17, 2008

Alan Greenspan says that this is a once in a lifetime financial crisis.  Then why is someone I know making more money in this crisis than ever before?  Well, read on …

And I know what you’re thinking.  “What’s it going take to fix this mess?”

I have the answer … and if you’re reading this, you are probably part of the solution.  Read on …because the answer might surprise you!

But first, let’s recap.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average tanked again today.  It wasn’t pretty.  It lost 449 points, or 4.09% of its value.  And Uncle Sam came to the rescue again.

This time, however, it is serious.  Helping Bear Stearns out was one thing.  Giving investor confidence to Fannie and Freddie was another.  But all of a sudden, the perfect storm developed and Merrill Lynch and Lehman Brothers were is trouble.  The bull lost its horns and is now a cow, out to greener pasture somewhere…with plenty of foreclosures around the farm to boot.

Merrill was saved by Bank of America, but Lehman is done and sold some assets to Barclays today.  Now the bloody streets get even worse … Morgan Stanley tanked 25% today.  Goldman Sachs plunged 17% today.  All my buddies from Georgetown are crying.

Why?  Well, the AIG mess is quite a mess.  We’re talking over $1 trillion in assets that almost went on the auction block for pennies on the dollar.  That would spell financial ruin the likes we haven’t seen in a century.  It would make AIG’s 74 million clients a little panicky, too, don’t you think?  AIG still will be selling its assets, but in this case they’ll be doing so to pay Uncle Sam back, rather that giving folks a free to all in a liquidation.   So thanks, USA, for backing AIG with $85 billion.

What happened in real estate today (of course everything that’s happening is related to real estate).  Housing starts for August dropped to 17 ½ year low the U.S. Commerce Department reported today.  The seasonally adjusted annual rate was 895,000, which is off from the estimated 950,000 and represents a 6.2% drop.

But, as long as you are not a homebuilder, we in the real estate world know that this is actually a good sign… meaning that in order to recover, this is the medicine we need.  We need less new home inventory so that we can move more of the existing inventory we have, and to create an equilibrium of supply and demand.  A new house just isn’t going to compete against a bank-owned 2007 or 2006 house that is 30% less than the cost of construction.   Starts on single family homes were 33% below August 2007 levels at 630,000.

Ok, but Chris … you’re the guy that’s screaming that this is the biggest opportunity ever.  So where’s the silver lining you ask?

The Mortgage Banker’s Association reported that loan applications jumped 33.4% to 661.7 just last week, its highest level since May 9, 2008.  This shouldn’t be too much of a surprise because the government bailout of Fannie and Freddie gave more confidence to the market for mortgage backed securities.  So rates dropped.  This is good news for Realtors, good news for lenders…and perhaps good news for new home builders going forward.

And guess what?  When equity markets are awful, and investors are looking for hard assets, where do you think they are going?   Well, precious metals that’s for sure (gold had its best day ever today, up 11% to $80/ounce).  But don’t forget about bricks and mortar.  Some investor pulls out $500,000, does a self-directed IRA into real estate, and gets a 10% return on the cash just based on rents alone.  Then they get the upside.

I’m telling you.  Read me loud and clear: when financial markets plunge, the real estate market will be the beneficiary.  Just watch.  Or better yet, start taking action!

So who gets us out of this mess?  You do.  If you’re reading this, you’re probably a real estate agent or investor.  Once you get going, and do your thing, and start telling people that the real estate market is A LOT more stable than the stock market, you’ll begin to make sense.

And guess what else?  Banks are tanking.  They have to unload nonperforming assets. So short sales will become easier.  REO’s will become plentiful.  And realtor bank accounts will start filling up, not depleting.

So hang in there.  Sure it is painful for your 401(k), but you better be able to make it back in spades with the opportunity you’ve got in front of you.

Go for it!

Chris McLaughlin
Web: http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome
(800) 452-7627

P.S.: Thanks to many of you who have e-mailed us giving glowing reviews for including the CDs in the Short Sales Riches packet you recently got.  Yep, we threw that in at no extra cost because we want you to be able to not only read it, but live it.  And when you hear Nathan and I talking about how to make money in this market it all starts coming together, doesn’t it.

P.P.S.: Nathan just told me he thinks he’ll make $160,000+ this month.  Not bad for a kid that was home schooled with no formal education, huh?  All the guys with the fancy education work(ed) at Lehman, Bear Stearns, AIG, Fannie, Freddie, and other banks .. hmm… kinda ironic ain’t it?  Check him out at: http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome

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