Market News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin, September 29, 2008
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html
The Dow Jones Industrial Average rebounded from its stunning 777 point decline yesterday, with a 485 point bounce as investors got a little more confident after Congressional leaders suggested something would be done this week regarding the $700 billion Bailout. In addition, a key report on consumer confidence was higher than expected. The Consumer Confidence Index rose to 59.8, but many analysts were expecting a drop to 55, so that surprise also helped stocks advance.
One idea that is gaining traction on Capitol Hill is raising the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. (FDIC) rate. Lawmakers have suggested raising it to $250,000 from its current $100,000, and both Presidential candidates jumped on the bandwagon in support on this idea. FDIC Chairwoman Shelia Bair today asked Congress for approval to raise the limit to an unspecific amount.
Most political pundits are saying that the Bailout mess has damaged the Presidential candidacy of John McCain. The Republican contender suspended his campaign to help pass the bailout bill, but given its rejection by the U.S. House of Representatives some of questioning McCain’s effectiveness. McCain is now in a catch-22: does he suspend his campaign again to help get something passed, or does he continue campaigning? It will be an interesting week for those following politics, that’s for sure.
Now for real estate news…
The Case-Shiller/Standard & Poors 20 city housing index gave some grim news to homeowners today, noting that the 20 city index fell 16.3 percent in July from the year ago period. The 10 city index dropped 17.5%, the largest decline in 21 years since the index was developed. The largest price drop was in Las Vegas, which fell over 30%.
Now on to our real estate investor & Realtor education section. Here’s a great question that many clients might be asking us these days … is real estate still the road to riches?
Ahhh, like Dorothy in the financial allegory turned Hollywood fable “The Wizard of Oz”, most people agree there is no place like home but is real estate still the road to riches? Perhaps you would do better to stop searching for short sales and spend your time building an eBay business or build a fat bank account by day-trading. Maybe the yellow-brick road of gold leads the way to wealth. Forever in the pursuit of knowledge, let’s take a quick look at how the Forbes 400 made it to the Emerald City. In their recently released 2008 version of the (not so creatively named) “Forbes 400”; a list of the wealthiest 400 individuals in the nation, it is interesting to note the following:
Nearly 10 percent of the Forbes list made their fortune exclusively from real estate compared to only 15 out of 400 from medicine, 38 out of 400 from technology, 12 out of 400 from fashion/retail and only 35 out of 400 from energy – including big oil! A large number of finance billionaires also have substantial holdings in real estate related assets.
Live in California, New York, Florida or Texas – in that order.
Do it Yourself….271 of the 400 were entirely self-made with an average net worth of just under 4 Billion as compared to those who inherited some of their money ($3.62 Billion) or those who inherited all ($3.95 Billion).
In the midst of one of the most volatile financial markets in history, it might be a good idea to take a step back and examine whether or not short sales and real estate remain a viable investment. After all, prices have dropped and the media is filled with stories of foreclosures, defaults and rising unemployment. On the other hand, panic selling has paved the road to riches for many millionaires (and billionaires!) in the pages of history.
So, is real estate still to road to wealth in the United States? Without a doubt – Yes – especially when you have been granted the proverbial ruby slippers to keep you safe:
1. Leverage. Leverage remains an investor’s best friend but use it wisely by retaining a safety net and avoiding the use of funds you can’t afford to lose. Like the friendly lion that showed courage in the face of adversity, the free-market rewards bravery…just remember, stupidity is severely punished.
2. Time. Einstein was once quoted as saying the strongest power in the world was that of compound interest – learn how to combine leverage with time to harness that power when purchasing short sales and bank foreclosures.
3. Never be fooled by smoke and mirrors. One of the keys to Short Sales Success is learning that the almighty Oz…or the almighty banker…is often little more than an elaborate charade designed to impress. The recent rash of bank failures should prove how wrong that image can be…from Wachovia to Wamu, all that glitters is not gold but it could certainly work in your favor once you understand how to see behind the curtain and understand the real motives at play.
Are you ready to see behind the curtain?
Chris McLaughlin, J.D., M.B.A.
web: http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html
e-mail: info@shortsalesriches.com
Phone: (800) 452-7627
P.S.:
So we’re going to do it again tonight at 9 PM ET, 6 PM PST (Tuesday). We’re hosting a Webinar (you need a computer and a phone to participate). Last week’s webinar was nearly sold out, so if you’re interested in learning how to make money in this market jump on this now and register while we still have openings:
https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/759612505
P.P.S.: If you want to have a great laugh, check out this latest YouTube video about some hate mail that Nathan and I received! Here’s the link:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=AHWX_2oXdm8
and if you like what you see in the video, then go here and take action:
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html
