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Another Bailout: Bush Gives $17 Billion to Big 3 Auto

by Chris McLaughlin on December 19, 2008

Mid-Day Market News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin, December 19, 2008
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html

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Have you been missing our amazing Recession Proof Investing webinars because you haven’t found the time?  Make time to see the most amazing webinar ever created, the one that people are raving about…because it is giving hope to those affected by this crazy economy.  And that hope has turned into real cash for so many.  See it all today, there are only 17 spots left:

https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/371290260

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President George Bush decided to throw out a lifeline to the automakers, a possible retreat from his “orderly bankruptcy” comments yesterday.  Bush noted that with the country in a severe recession, “Allowing the auto companies to collapse is not a responsible course of action.”  Bush has approved $17.4 billion in rescue loans, part of which comes from the $700 billion TARP,  with the government having an option of becoming a stockholder in the automakers.

Now on to real estate investing education …

Do You Hear What I Hear?

During this most festive of holiday season, the sound of “cha-ching” normally rings just as loudly as that of the carolers and party-goers but this year is different. In fact, instead of singing and the sound of cash registers ringing the average short sale investor is more likely to hear wailing and gnashing of teeth from investors both near and far as the Federal Reserve reports that Americans have lost $2.8 Trillion in Net Worth…since last quarter!

Meanwhile, charge-off and delinquency rates for residential real estate loans have reached 1.45 for all banks and a whopping 1.66 for the 100 largest banks. Delinquency rates for residential real estate have now surpassed 5.08 for Q3 of 2008; the highest rate for residential real estate in over 25 years. With the economic news at home sounding so lackluster, it might lead some to seek returns in the foreign exchange markets. So, should potential short sale investors sink funds into global money market accounts or continue to pursue opportunities here at home in the current “buyers market” for real estate?

If the news domestically is hard to hear then consider the global perspective; entire nations are going bankrupt. Iceland, Hungary, the Ukraine, Pakistan and others are either facing bankruptcy or in the midst of a massive bail-out by the International Monetary Fund (IMF). Lest you think “it can’t happen here” consider this; Argentina went bankrupt as recently as 2001 as did Russia in 1998. Once an economic powerhouse, Germany has gone bankrupt twice in the recent past including 1923 and 1945. With interest rates in excess of 20 percent, Argentina is attempting to inspire investors to take a chance on investing in their nation; to date, there has been an apathetic response at best.

According to Stephen Jen, a currency specialist with Morgan Stanely, a 1 percent drop in growth could reduce the flow of capital to “threshold countries (those in a financially precarious situation) by more than half! Should this transpire, the IMF would not have enough reserves to “bail-out” each individual nation resulting in Argentina style cycle of events including frozen bank accounts, withdrawal caps, hyperinflation and social unrest. Dare to guess which nation “guarantees” the IMF slush fund should it run dry? Yep-the good ole USA. So much for “Plan B”. As these threshold nations face economic disaster, the trading partners and surrounding nations would be exposed to further strain…setting the stage for a global economic meltdown.

Experts such as Nouriel Roubini are already calling for the most severe global crisis since the Great Depression while others like Ron Paul are openly questioning the Federal Reserve about contingency plans in the event of global economic collapse. Plain and simple; fiat currency around the world is risky business even with the prospect of double digit returns. On the other hand, real estate has historically fared well even during dollar devaluation.

Five Favorite Facebook Tips to Build Your Short Sale Empire

Whether you are a novice real estate agent or veteran short sale investor you probably realize the power and influence the Internet holds in building your success. With over 80 percent of buyers beginning their search online, the Internet is a vital tool that few can afford to ignore. However, when it comes to the use of social media applications, far fewer people understand how to put these powerful resources to use for more than just socializing. The fact is, with a little tweaking and adjusting, Facebook and other social media sites have the potential to provide powerful – and free- tools to help with your day to day business or investing needs.

Contrary to popular opinion, Facebook isn’t just fourteens; here are some of the best business applications you can use to build your short sale empire:

1.     Demographic Research. This little known Facebook nugget is a fun twist to standard demographic research. Find the Facebook “Insight Corner” to locate advertising information and find out how many people reside in a specific zip code or other identified demographic data.

2.     Syndicate Yourself. Set up a Facebook page then import the RSS feed from your blog to the notes application and distribute to all your friends and associates.

3.     Send Video Messages. Showcase homes, send out a video blast of recent news or simply make a personalized greeting. It’s a simple, personalized and cost effective way to make a big impression with a small budget.

4.     Collaborate. Combine Facebook with Google documents to collaborate in a secure environment. Share everything from text to excel spreadsheets with ease while tracking changes, making comments and sharing information.

5.     Picture It! Use the mobile application to upload photographs from your cell phone automatically.  It’s a great way to capture information on prospective short sale properties on the spur of the moment or simply share information with others in real time.

See you at the top!

 

Chris McLaughlin

http://www.shortsalesriches.com/blog

P.S.:   Don’t miss our webinar tomorrow, Saturday, at 2 PM EST!  We’re holding this Recession Proof Real Estate Investing webinar once again on a weekend to accommodate all those who are unable to join us at night!  Click here, there are only 17 spots left:

https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/371290260

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Fed Seeks to Lower Mortgage Rates as Foreclosures Set to Double in 2009

by Chris McLaughlin on December 2, 2008

Fed Seeks to Lower Mortgage Rates

Mid-Day Market News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin, December 2, 2008
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html

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What if there was someone who would lend you money for 24 hours, regardless of your credit, your income, and whether you just filed bankruptcy?   What if you could then re-sell a property in that time and make a fortune?  What if is now reality … join us for our amazing webinar tonight!  Only 27 spots left:

Recession Proof Investing Webinar (Tuesday, 9 PM EST, 6 PM PST):

http://www.recessionproofinvestingwebinar.com

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Listen up folks.  You need to start calling your investors …calling those fence sitters that have been sitting too long.  The Federal Reserve just said they are going to start buying Treasury notes and bonds.  Let’s review some gobbly gook FedSpeak that Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke said yesterday in Austin, Texas:

“The second arrow in the Federal Reserve’s quiver – the provision of liquidity – remains effective,” he said. “The Fed could purchase longer-term Treasury or agency securities on the open market in substantial quantities. This approach might influence the yields on these securities, thus helping to spur aggregate demand.”

Did you catch that?  Folks mortgage rates are going EVEN LOWER.  Why?  Mortgage rate are directly tied to the 10 year treasury.  As the Fed comes in and buys them up, that will send the yield on the treasury even lower, therefore reducing the overall rate on the 30 year mortgage.   

And there’s more good news.  Just last week the Fed announced that it would be buying $100 billion in debt from Fannie and Freddie, and around $500 billion in mortgage backed securities.  Now what do markets do?  They anticipate action and price it into the equation … so if you’re a Realtor, a loan officer, or a real estate investor, this is our version of a Bailout.  Look for the 30 year fixed to stay well below 6%!

If, however, you agree with us that the government is mostly filled with morons that have been botching up this economic recovery after causing it, be sure to catch our recorded webinar on the topic:

www.shortsalesricheswebinar.com

Ok, on to other real estate related news of the day…

Are you ready for this new statistic, reported today by the Wall Street Journal?  TransUnion LLC, the Chicago-based credit bureau, predicts that 7.17% of consumers will be at least 60 days past due on their mortgages by the fourth quarter of 2009.  That’s nearly double where it is today.  “There are a lot more loans that will be resetting throughout 2009 through 2011,” Ezra Becker, principal consultant in TransUnion’s financial-services group, told the Journal.  “There may be an ongoing flow of consumers who may now be able to pay their mortgage but may not be able to a year from now.”

If you think that REOs and short sales are slowing you need to get your head on straight!  They will EXPLODE in 2009.  Loan modifications can only have so much impact …

Bank of America announced today that it would be eliminating at least 10,000 investment banking jobs as it soaks up Merrill Lynch.  The combined companies will have about 260,000 employees, with 50,000 representing the investment banking division.

And finally … someone got a brain in the public relations department at the Big 3 Automakers.  General Motors announced today that its CEO, Rick Wagoner, would drive to Washington instead of flying.  The CEO, who flew by private jet sipping champagne (ok, I through the champagne in for effect…you get the idea!) for his last appearance, will drive a Chevy Malibu hybrid from Detroit to DC.  Ford’s CEO, Alan Mullaly will also be driving from Detroit.  Now … it would be a public relations bonanza, and it would certainly send the right message, if we could get the two of these guys to share a ride!

Now, on to our real estate investor education section…

All Pain and No Gain? Not so Fast!

While the most recent data released by the Federal Housing Finance Agency FHFA may initially seem to indicate “all pain and no gain” taking time to delve a little deeper into the numbers shows a few clear-cut nuggets in an otherwise pan of silt.

First the pain…

U.S. home prices fell 1.8 percent in Q3 as compared to the previous quarter…the largest in the purchase only index 17 year history.

Over the past year prices have fallen 6.0 percent between Q3 of 2007 and Q3 of 2008 – not adjusted for inflation. Since the price of goods and services increased by 6.7 percent during the same period, the inflation adjusted decline is 12.7 percent.

Four states continue to see double-digit declines including Nevada (-20.9%), California (-20.8%), Florida (-16%) and Arizona (-13.5%).

A Few gains…

Some states actually managed to exhibit price increases even while most of the nation continued to show declining sales figures; North Dakota (4.0%), South Dakota (3.9%), Texas

(3.2%), Alabama (2.8%), and Oklahoma (2.8%).

Several MSA or Metropolitan Statistical Areas also showed price appreciation including Austin-Round Rock, TX (5.6%), Augusta-Richmond County, GA-SC (5.5%) and Rapid City, SD (5.4%).

 

Extension of higher conforming loan limits into 2009. While the recent increase to $729,750 for high cost areas is due to end by January 1, 2009, revisions due to take effect will increase loan limits to $417,000 for all homes and up to $625,500 in high cost areas.

 

Quick Tip…

 

Take time to sign up for automatic notification of the FHFA report as it is released by sending an email to FHFAinfo@FHFA.gov. The next quarterly report covering Q4 of 2008 is scheduled for the end of February 2009 and the next monthly index is due out on December 23, 2008.

 

More on Wednesday!

See you at the top!

Chris McLaughlin
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/blog

P.S.:

If you have the chance make sure you jump on this link now, to get the insight into why the foreclosure market is going to be THE PLACE to invest:

http://www.shortsalesricheswebinar.com

Don’t miss it – everyone that has watched it says it is perhaps the most useful tool in understanding what’s going on in the real estate market, and how to make money in today’s environment.

P.P.S.:  Join us from our next webinar TONIGHT:

A Recession Proof Real Estate Investing: Making Money in ANY Economy! 

We’ll show you how to make money with no credit, no capital, and no holding costs!  Think we’re crazy?  Find out now!

http://www.recessionproofinvestingwebinar.com

We’re limiting the webinar to 27 registrations to give individual attention to those who join … so jump on this link to register:

http://www.recessionproofinvestingwebinar.com

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Senate Set to Vote on Bailout Plan

by Chris McLaughlin on October 1, 2008

Market News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin, October 1, 2008
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html 

The Dow Jones Industrial average traded sideways today, ending the day down 19.59 on the day.  The U.S. Senate prepared to vote on a bailout plan tonight as vote getters added on lots of popular provisions to lure new supporters to the package.  Chief among the new provisions will increasing FDIC insurance to $250,000 from $100,000; the bill prevents the FDIC from charging its member banks more in order to cover the increase as well and enables the FDIC to borrow directly from the Treasury should it need additoinal capital.

The Oracle of Omaha, Warren Buffett, went on a buying spree again today, buying $3 billion in General Electric with a buy price of $22.25 along with a 10% dividend.   The goodwill the Buffett brings will enable General Eletric to sell $12 billion of stock.  Buffett said, “GE is the symbol of American business to the world…I am confident that GE will continue to be successful in the years to come.”

Car makers plunged today, as tight credit and gas prices are keeping customers away from showhomes.  Ford Motor’s sales plunged 34 percent, and Toyota, the manufacturer of the popular fuel efficient Prius Hybrid, still had sales tank 32%. 

Now, on to real estate and investor education …

When it comes time to present an offer on a short sale, learn to recognize these unhealthy home traps then either walk away or use this “Housing Hit List” to further (and often dramatically) reduce the price of the home. Remember, once identified, even “as-is” homes must disclose known defects so taking the time to perform a few inexpensive tests can result in saving thousands or even tens of thousands of dollars from already reduced market rates.

 

The Unhealthy Home Hit List…

 

1.     Lead. Prior to 1978, most homes used lead based paint. Since lead is known to cause mental retardation and health issues among children, it is federal law that all rental units notify potential occupants of the possible existence of lead in homes built prior to 1978. De-leading can be done but may be expensive especially if the home also used lead pipes. Other potential sources of lead contamination include the soil surrounding the home. If in doubt – test paint, water and soil samples for lead.

 

2.     Radon. This colorless, odorless gas is frequently found in some areas of the country especially in newer homes that tend to be tightly sealed and “weatherized”. Purchase an inexpensive radon test kit to find out if a potential property is impacted.

 

3.     Mold/Mildew. Insurance companies hate it, consumers fear it and most savvy investors realize how easy it can be to remedy. Prior water damage from flooding, roof damage, pipe problems or other humidity control issues can lead to the presence of mold and mildew.

 

4.     Air Quality. The Environmental Protection Agency has recently released studies indicating the air quality in some homes to be worse than the smog of Los Angeles…quite a feat if you think about it especially when you realize the worst culprits are not toxic waste dumps or super fund sites but rather indoor pollutants. In most cases things like air deodorizers, cleaning agents, carpeting and other common materials contribute to degraded air quality issues. Test the air then search for the source. In most situations, air vents, enzymatic treatment and other simple solutions fix the problem.

 

5.     Water Quality. Although not always as simple to fix as air quality, water quality issues aren’t always a deal breaker; iron, sulfur and calcium build-up might be unsightly but presents little real health risk. Homes with private water sources are particularly susceptible – and can often be corrected with the addition of a professional filtration system.

6.     Asbestos. Used in everything from roofing tiles to fireproof surrounds, asbestos was a favored building material for years. Unfortunately, it is also a known carcinogen that requires specialized handling and disposal.

7.     Meth and Other Drug Lab’s. From flop houses to full blown meth labs, sooner or later most short sale investors will come across a foreclosed home contaminated by drugs. It is important to understand the local, state and federal guidelines required to properly recondition the home prior to making a bid.

More tomorrow…


Chris McLaughlin, J.D., M.B.A.
web: http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html
e-mail: info@shortsalesriches.com

Phone: (800) 452-7627

P.S.: 

So we’re going to do it again this Thursday at 7PM  ET.  I received lots of e-mails from the East Coast begging for an earlier time, so here you have it!  We’re hosting a Webinar (you need a computer and a phone to participate).  Last night’s webinar was nearly sold out, so if you’re interested in learning how to make money in this market jump on this now and register while we still have openings:

https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/779139540

 

P.P.S.: If you want to have a great laugh, check out this latest  YouTube video about some hate mail that Nathan and I received!   Here’s the link to our YouTube site:

 

http://www.youtube.com/shortsalesriches

 

and if you like what you see in the video, then go here and take action:

 

http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html

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