69,000 foreclosures in March
CoreLogic today released its National Foreclosure Report for March, which provides monthly data on completed foreclosures, foreclosure inventory and 90+ day delinquency rates. There were 69,000 completed foreclosures in March 2012 compared to 85,000 in March 2011 and 66,000* in February 2012. Through the first quarter of 2012, there were 198,000 completed foreclosures compared to 232,000 through the first quarter of 2011. Since the start of the financial crisis in September 2008, there have been approximately 3.5 million completed foreclosures. Approximately 1.4 million homes, or 3.4% of all homes with a mortgage, were in the national foreclosure inventory as of March 2012 compared to 1.5 million, or 3.5%, in March 2011 and 1.4 million, or 3.4%, in February 2012. The number of loans in the foreclosure inventory decreased by nearly 100,000, or 6.0%, in March 2012 compared to March 2011.
The share of borrowers nationally that were more than 90 days late on their mortgage payment, including homes in foreclosure and real estate owned (REO) assets, fell to 7.0% in March 2012 from 7.5% in March 2011, and remained unchanged from 7.0% in February 2012. Also in March, the inventory of REO assets held by servicers nationwide grew more slowly than the pace of REO sales, as measured by the distressed clearing ratio. The distressed clearing ratio is calculated by dividing the number of REO sales by the number of completed foreclosures. The higher the distressed clearing ratio, the faster the pace of REO sales relative to the pace of completed foreclosures. The distressed clearing ratio for March 2012 was 0.81, up from 0.76 in February 2012.
Highlights as of March 2012
- The five states with the largest number of completed foreclosures for the 12 months ending in March 2012 were: California (150,000), Florida (92,000), Michigan (62,000), Arizona (58,000) and Texas (57,000). These five states account for 49.1% of all completed foreclosures nationally.
- The% of homeowners nationally who were more than 90 days late on their mortgage payments, including homes in foreclosure and REO, was 7.0% for March 2012 compared to 7.5% for March 2011, and 7.0% in February 2012.
- The five states with the highest foreclosure rates were: Florida (12.1%), New Jersey (6.6%), Illinois (5.4%), Nevada (4.9%) and New York (4.9%).
- The five states with the lowest foreclosure rates were: Wyoming (0.7%), Alaska (0.8%), North Dakota (0.8%), Nebraska (1.1%) and South Dakota (1.4%).
- Of the top 100 markets, measured by Core Based Statistical Areas (CBSAs) population, 35 are showing an increase in the year-over-year foreclosure rate in March 2012, two more than in February 2012 when 33 of the top CBSAs were showing an increase in the year-over-year foreclosure rate.
*February data was revised. Revisions are standard, and to ensure accuracy CoreLogic incorporates newly released data to provide updated results.
BOA to cut 400 jobs
Bank of America (BOA) is planning to cut up to 400 jobs in its investment banking, corporate banking, and sales and trading units, The Wall Street Journal reported, citing people familiar with the situation. An expected sale of the bank’s non-US wealth-management operations in Asia, Latin America, and Europe would eliminate up to 2,000 jobs, the Journal reported. Reuters reported on April 17 that Bank of America was looking to sell its wealth-management units outside the US for as much as $3 billion. BOA declined to comment on the Journal report. Last spring, the bank announced a cost-cutting program called Project New BAC that aims to eliminate 30,000 consumer banking and technology jobs over the next few years. The bank has said it expects to wrap up plans for the second phase of the program, which focuses on investment banking, commercial banking, and related support jobs in May. The second phase is expected to cut fewer jobs than the first because it covers a smaller, more efficient part of the bank. At the end of March, Bank of America had about 278,700 employees worldwide.
Olick – renter nation
“More Americans are renting homes, and fewer are owning them; it’s not as if this is news to anyone who follows the US housing market, but a new report from the Census Bureau today really put an historical exclamation point on the trend. The share of US household renting reached a fifteen year high, and home ownership reached a 15-year low. Funny how those numbers travel together. 34.6% of households were renters in the first quarter of this year, and that number is climbing, as lack of credit or sufficient down payment keeps Americans young and old from becoming home owners. Rental vacancies are therefore falling, the lowest rate out West, where foreclosures have run the highest during this housing crash. That is also where investors are rushing in to buy foreclosed properties and put them up for rent. Single family homes for rent, in fact, surpassed multi-family units, taking 52% of the $3 trillion rental market, according to CoreLogic.
Both rental and homeowner vacancies are down, which is a general positive for the housing market, because empty houses are a blight on communities. ‘The vacancy rates will only decline if household formation is increasing or units are being destroyed,’ notes ISI Group’s Stephen East. While banks have bulldozed some foreclosed properties here and there, the practice is by no means popular or widespread. That should mean that household formation is increasing, which is generally a product of an improving jobs picture. Younger Americans who have been living together or with their parents may finally be getting into their own homes, more likely into rentals, but at least they’re forming their own households. That is thanks to a small drop in the unemployment rate among 25-34 year olds to its lowest rate in three years. The home ownership rate now stands at 65.4%, down a full percentage point from a year ago, and down from just over 69% at the peak in 2004. Since the recession began, growth in overall new households has been about 50% short of trend lines, according to analysts at Goldman Sachs. While household formation is rebounding for single or un-related Americans, formation among families is still waning; that may be due to the types of homes they need, i.e. larger, single-family homes. It thus stands to reason that pent-up demand will show itself first in single family rentals in the future and less in multi-family. No wonder investors are flooding the foreclosure market.”
No more easing?
Two top Federal Reserve officials — one with a dovish, employment-focused bent, and the other a self-avowed inflation hawk — yesterday both said they see no need for the US central bank to ease monetary policy any further. But the comments, from San Francisco Fed President John Williams and Dallas Fed President Richard Fisher, do not mean they believe the central bank should quickly move to raise rates, which it has kept near zero for more than three years. The economy grew at a 2.2% pace last quarter, down from its 3% growth rate in the final three months of the year. Recent economic data, including a gauge of business activity in the US Midwest, signal growth may slow further this quarter. “I don’t think we are ready to exit yet,” Fisher, an inflation hawk, told Reuters at the Milken Institute Global Conference in Los Angeles. Fisher said he would oppose the extension of Operation Twist, the Fed bond-buying program that is set to end in June, but stopped short of calling for outright monetary tightening. “We’ll have to see how the year works out,” he said.
US home ownership sets new record – down
The US homeownership rate fell to the lowest level in 15 years in the first quarter as borrowers lost homes to foreclosure and tighter inventory and credit kept buyers off the market. The rate dropped to 65.4% from 66% in the fourth quarter and fell a full percentage point from a year earlier, the Census Bureau said in a report today. That is the lowest level since the first quarter of 1997, and down from a record 69.2% in June 2004. Mounting foreclosures are displacing borrowers, while a lack of inventory has kept home sales from accelerating amid record affordability, the National Association of Realtors reported April 19. Stricter mortgage standards are also limiting purchases as rental demand surges, said Paul Diggle, property economist with Capital Economics Ltd. in London. “Although house prices and mortgage rates have fallen to a level that makes buying preferable to renting, ongoing problems accessing mortgage credit are preventing many households from taking advantage,” he wrote in a note today. The US apartment vacancy rate fell to 4.9% in the first quarter, an 11-year low, according to New York-based Reis Inc. (REIS). The vacancy rate for rental homes was 8.8% in the first quarter, compared with 9.7% a year earlier, the Census Bureau said in today’s report.
Of the estimated 132.6 million US homes, 18.5 million, or 13.9%, were vacant in the first quarter. A year earlier, about 19 million homes were vacant, according to the report. That includes homes for sale or rent or held off the market, and vacation properties used seasonally. The ownership rate may drop below 64% by the end of 2015 and stay there for years, Scott Simon, the mortgage bond head of Pacific Investment Management Co. in Newport Beach, California, said in an e-mail today. “It will be lower by 2017,” he said. “It will be lower in 2020.” About 6 million borrowers will lose their properties in the next five years because of inability to pay, creating 4 million new rental households, Simon said in an April 24 interview on Bloomberg Television. The homeownership rate fell 3 percentage points from a year earlier to 61.4% in the first quarter for people aged 35 to 44, the biggest drop of any age group. The Northeast had the biggest regional decline, with the ownership rate falling 1.4 percentage points to 62.5%. The West had the lowest ownership rate at 59.9%, down 1 percentage point from a year earlier.
The US homeownership rate rose to a record in 2004 when President George W. Bush, running for re-election, called for expanding home-loan availability to create an “ownership society.” The current rate of 65.4% matches the average since 1965, when the Census Bureau began reporting the figures, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. Home prices fell 3.5% in February from a year earlier and are 35% below their July 2006 peak, according to the S&P/Case-Shiller index of 20 US cities. The average rate for a 30-year fixed loan was 3.88% last week and reached 3.87% in February, the lowest level in at least four decades, according to Freddie Mac. About 2.37 million homes were listed for sale in March, a and 6.3 month supply and down 22% from a year earlier, the Realtors association said on April 19. A six-month supply is considered a healthy market, according to the group.
