Real Estate News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin, April 7, 2009
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html
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“2 Careers That Boom in a Recession!”
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And I can’t do it in an email.
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Markets down
Aluminum giant Alcoa will kick off the dreaded next corporate reporting period after the markets close today. Alcoa earned 44 cents per share a year ago, but it’s expected to have lost 57 cents per share this period, according to analysts surveyed by Thomson Reuters. The markets are girding their loins in anticipation or, more exactly, running away fast, if today’s opening is anything to go by. Asian stocks finished lower, and European markets were down in afternoon trading. The Dow Jones industrial average, Standard & Poor’s 500, and Nasdaq 100 all opened lower for the second day in a row. Anthony Conroy, head trader at BNY ConvergEx Group helpfully pointed out, “We must maintain some semblance of confidence in the economy. There’s this tremendous amount of nervousness, and this nervousness breeds volatility.” Really? When did that start happening?
Crackdown on scams
Hard times always brings out the scammers, and this one is no exception.
According to the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), a multi-agency crackdown is set to target real estate scams and frauds, as well as bolster state and federal action and efforts to protect homeowners. An online survey by the FTC found 71 distinct companies running suspicious ads, and a Treasury committee found nearly 180,000 fraudulent mortgage reports. The FBI is currently investigating more than 2,100 mortgage fraud cases, up 400 percent from five years ago, according to ABC News. Among those involved in the effort are the U.S. Department of the Treasury, the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ), the Department of Housing and Urban Development (HUD), the Federal Trade Commission (FTC), and the Attorney General of Illinois.
Uptick rule back again?
The U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will consider four proposals to restrict short selling – a bet that a given stock will fall. As it stands now, speculators can leap on a declining stock and drive it down further, according to many executives. At its Wednesday meeting the Securities and Exchange Commission will consider, among other ideas, the restoration of the “uptick rule,” which allowed short sales only in cases where the last price was higher than the previous price. SEC Chairwoman Mary Schapiro said at the Council of Institutional Investors conference that they’ll be looking at different proposals, including a so-called “bid test” and a “circuit breaker.” Schapiro did not provide details on how the bid test or circuit breaker could work and did not elaborate on the fourth proposal.
The Puma
Will urban streets soon be clogged with two wheeled electric automobiles that look more like partially assembled wheelchairs than cars? They will if General Motors (GM) gets its wish. GM is teaming with Segway Inc., maker of the upright, self-balancing scooters to build the PUMA, an acronym for Personal Urban Mobility and Accessibility. The machine, which GM says it aims to develop by 2012, runs on batteries, has a range of about 35 miles between charges, and uses wireless technology to avoid traffic backups and navigate cities. GM didn’t say how much the machines would cost, but research chief Larry Burns said owners would spend one-third to one-fourth of the cost of a traditional vehicle. Well, we all said we wanted change, right?
Now on to our real estate investing education section…
Shell Games in a Banana Republic – How to Surf the Tide of Short Sales
$46, 666 for every man, woman and child in the nation. That is the estimated current level of expenditures, promises and (as of yet) unfunded liabilities guaranteed by your good old Uncle Sam since January 2007….with relatives like that who need enemies? Now ask yourself – do you feel like you are getting your money’s worth? Did the government perform $46,000 of improvements to local parks, roads and public services that enhanced your life by the equivalent of thousands of dollars per month for the past 16 months? If not, where is the money going? To that great shell game in the sky of course.
The problem with shell games is the players always have the illusion of knowing the right choice – only after the choices are made does the slight of hand become apparent. The same goes for investments today. The common “buy and hold” strategy has wiped away a decade or more wealth from the pockets of most American investors while foreign bond buyers are calling en mass for the IMF (International Monetary Fund) to propose a new reserve currency for the world. Unable to pay the current debts while making good on bail-outs and future funding, the USA is resorting to the financial policies used by banana publics world-wide….just print and deal with the day of reckoning later.
So let’s see what Uncle Sam has hidden under those shells; guess right and you get to ride the largest transfer of wealth in modern history. Guess wrong and you get to spend your retirement years trading coconuts for a little spare change.
Shell #1 – Cash transfer payments. The current economic plan penalizes
those holding cash or cash equivalents by inflating away the value of their dollars. Average Americans, the Chinese and others with large cash reserves are rightfully concerned about the growing supply of “stimulus” as the government prints money out of thin air then sells it to itself. Around and around we go…where we stop nobody knows. One thing is certain, when it does stop those in cash or cash equivalents are likely to be big losers. Hard assets like real estate have always re-indexed to the inflated or new baseline. Buy now while the buying is good.
Shell #2 – “I’m from the government and I’m here to Help”…Ronald Reagan once called these the most terrifying words you might ever hear and with good reason. The US government is getting ready to “help” every person in this nation by expanding over 80 percent – in ONE Year! Yes, you heard that right. The baseline budget for the US government is set to expand by over 80 percent in one year. This will mean the federal government alone is responsible for more than 1 of every 3 dollars produced in this country…and still growing. Let’s face it – by the time you add in state and local government, roughly half of all revenue does not come from the production of goods and services but by government and government has even more plans to help you and your family. Healthcare, education and cradle to grave social services are just a few of the proposed ways Big Brother will keep an eye on you. The only problem is you must play by their rules or risk financial ruin as evidenced by the recent government intervention into the business practices of corporations that received federal assistance. Don’t believe it will apply to individuals? Just ask any welfare recipient how much “freedom” they have. Value your way of life and freedom? Better have alternative plans to finance your own lifestyle rather than rely on Uncle Sam’s shell game.
Shell #3 – Someone has to win so you might as well be one of them. Even if you aren’t a DC insider expecting to receive big bucks from the bail-out, bonus or other transfer of wealth scenario it doesn’t mean you can’t still survive or even thrive. Learn how to ride the wave of wealth as it is transferred from those in dollars to those in assets. In the future, the ability to create wealth from work will grow increasingly possible thanks to progressive income taxes that take an ever greater percentage of earned income and penalize the wealthy. Likewise, with roughly 1 of every 2 dollars generated by state, local or federal government, creating wealth from a small business is increasingly difficult since you will almost undoubtedly be forced to deal with government regulations every step of the way. Few safe-guards remain to the average American…fortunately, real estate and the land itself is one of the few options available.
So, how can you surf the tide of short sales while the rest of the nation goes bananas?
Take advantage of historic lows in hard/tangible assets before inflation rears its ugly head. By the time everyone else figures out high prices are here to stay it will be too late.
Lock-in low rates now. Banks are almost losing money on interest rates so
you can rest assured they can’t keep them low forever. Lock-in low rates while you can…it could take awhile before rates begin rising due to the current economic crisis but when they resume their upward momentum it could be the last you see of low rates during this lifetime.
Follow the lead of those few big banks and states that rejected federal funds rather than accept the draconian “strings” likely to lead to a lifetime of servitude later. Smart states, banks and soon to be individuals that value the freedom to lead as they see fit must remain solvent without reliance on government. The price to pay for financial “security” is financial freedom and opportunity in the future.
See you at the top!
Chris McLaughlin
http://www.shortsalesriches.com/welcome.html
P.S.
Don’t miss out webinar Tuesday at 8:30 PM EST, 5:30 PM PST:
https://www2.gotomeeting.com/register/798281842
Copyright Loss Mitigation Institute 2009.
All Rights Reserved.
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About the author:
Chris McLaughlin is widely known as America’s top
Real Estate Attorney and Investment Consultant.
* As the top Florida foreclosure and pre-
foreclosure expert, he oversees more than
100 short sale & REO closings each month
* Long-time authority on real estate investing
and rapid flipping of distressed homes. Owns
portfolio of nearly 100 high-value, high-profit
properties
* Owner and Supervising Broker of one of Florida’s
largest Real Estate firms, running 4 different
offices, supporting nearly 450 agents, uniquely
positioning him to help thousands of investors
make money in the biggest market opportunity ever!
* Highly sought-after speaker, consultant, and
seminar leader for current trends and hot topics
in Real Estate Investing, Entrepreneurship, and
Wealth Building
* On twitter: http://twitter.com/mclaughlinchris
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