unemployment

Smart Real Estate News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin January 24, 2012

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2012 to be the best year for short sales?

The Mortgage Debt Forgiveness Act of 2007 allows an income tax exemption for a homeowner whose mortgage debt is partly or entirely forgiven by a bank.  It’s set to expire Dec. 31, 2012.  Matt Alegi, a partner with the Potomac law firm Shulman Rogers and chair of the firm’s residential real estate practice group, says the tax break has meant a savings in the tens of thousands of dollars for individuals.  Typically, if someone were to have $150,000 forgiven by the bank, Alegi says, “you just made another $150,000 of income for tax purposes in that year.”  So, say someone makes $50,000 but had $150,000 forgiven by the bank. That person is now paying taxes on a $200,000 income, and included in a much higher tax bracket.  The loss of the relief will plunge homeowners further into debt, Alegi says.

He also thinks the expiration of the Debt Forgiveness Act will have an impact on short sales themselves. Homeowners could try to push the short sale through this year to take advantage of the tax break.  Alegi believes there will be strong lobbying to extend the tax break. If it isn’t extended, the appeal of a short sale could greatly diminish for the homeowner.  To take advantage of the Debt Relief Act, you need to fall under very specific guidelines outlined by the IRS.  For example, the debt forgiven is only for primary residences and the debt must have been used to buy, build or substantially improve your principal residence and be secured by that residence.  Alegi says homeowners who spent the forgiven money on education or other bills do not qualify.

Gridlock an Obama strategy?

When President Obama outlines his goals for 2012 during Tuesday’s State of the Union address, he shouldn’t expect a lot of cooperation from Republicans, senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell (R-Ky.) said yesterday.  “With the Obama economy established now…unemployment is still at 8 ½%,” McConnell said. “It didn’t work, and we’re not interested in doing more of the things that don’t work.”  He said Obama was “AWOL” last year on his bus tour when Republicans wanted to tackle tax reform and entitlements, and he expects more of the same this year.   “He was not involved whatsoever,” McConnell said. “So I’m not optimistic, frankly, that in an election year that he’s likely to be any more engaged than he was last year.”  What’s more, he thinks the logjam in the nation’s capital is part of Obama’s agenda.  “That’s his strategy…to demonize Congress, to complain because he can’t continue to get everything he wants, like he did the first two years,” he said. “It’s all about his re-election and not about the country.”  One thing that McConnell thinks will get done is the payroll tax cut extension, which was extended for only two months in December when Congress couldn’t come to an agreement.  “We’ll be back at trying to figure out how to do that for the balance of the year and how to pay for it,” he said. “We don’t want to add to the deficit.”

What the $25 billion bank deal means

According to an Associated Press report, five major banks — Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Citibank and Ally Financial — and US state attorneys general could adopt the agreement within weeks. It’s expected President Barack Obama will mention new developments in the negotiations in his State of the Union address today.  A settlement between the banks and the states doesn’t mean homeowners who lost their homes to foreclosure will get them back. In fact, they’re unlikely to benefit much at all financially, though the total financial settlement could be as high as $25 billion.  What’s worse is the settlement does not apply to loans held by Fannie Mae or Freddie Mac. Since Fannie and Freddie own about half of all US mortgages – or 31 million US home loans – that means a lot of homeowners who have been hurt by the banks’ deceptive foreclosure practices won’t be getting much-needed assistance.  Nearly 11 million people – one in four homeowners – owe more than their home is worth. According to current guidelines, these underwater homeowners have few options and little chance at refinancing.  Here’s how the settlement could shape up:

-  $17 billion would go toward reducing the principal balance struggling homeowners owe on their mortgages.

-  $5 billion would be put into a reserve account for various state and federal programs. A portion of this money would cover the $1,800 checks that would be sent to homeowners affected by deceptive practices. Only about 750,000 Americans, or half of the households who might be eligible for assistance under the deal, will likely receive checks.

-  About $3 billion would be used to help homeowners refinance at 5.25%, far below current mortgage interest rates.

If the proposed settlement terms are accepted, roughly 1 million of these homeowners could see the principal amount of their mortgages reduced by an average of $20,000. That’s good news for some, but bad news for the other 10 million homeowners who would like to claim a principal reduction but won’t qualify.  The better news is this settlement has the potential to reshape long-standing lending guidelines and make things easier for at-risk and underwater homeowners across the board. But critics say it doesn’t do enough. Sen. Sherrod Brown (D-Ohio) tells the Associated Press: “Wall Street is again trying to pass the buck. Instead of criminal prosecutions, we’re talking about something that’s not more than a slap on the wrist.”  Some states have disagreed over what to offer banks, with states like New York, Delaware, Nevada and Massachusetts arguing banks should not be “protected from future civil liability.” The deal will not fully release banks from future criminal lawsuits by individual states, and a few of those states’ attorneys general have already promised to pursue their own investigations.  Bank officials have argued few, if any, foreclosures wrongfully took place as a result of documentation issues. Ally Financial CEO Michael Carpenter has been among the most vocal, claiming the company found no instances of wrongful foreclosure after its own internal audit. Carpenter has said he will fight the government in court if need be.

US Treasurys edge higher after Greek setback

US Treasurys edged higher today, after euro zone finance ministers rejected an offer by private creditors to restructure Greek debt, keeping alive fears of a default.  Benchmark 10-year note’s yield was at 2.06%, compared with 2.058% in late US trade on Monday. The yield rose as high as 2.094% on Friday, its highest since early December. The 30-year bond yield was at 3.14%.  Demand for safe-haven US debt was further boosted after a report rekindled fears that Portugal, seen as the second most risky country in the euro zone, could be the next potential default candidate after Greece.  Further dousing optimism, Germany denied a report that it was ready to boost the combined firepower of the euro zone’s rescue funds to 750 billion euros ($979 billion).  During its two-day policy meeting starting on Tuesday the Federal Reserve is expected to push out expectations on when it will next raise interest rates until at least 2014, and the meeting will also be closely watched for any hints of new QE, which analysts expect would focus on mortgage-backed bonds.  The Treasury Department will sell four-week bills and two-year notes later in the day. The Treasury will sell a total of $99 billion in new two-year, five-year, and seven-year notes this week.

Mortgage writedowns to cost taxpayers $100 billion

Forgiving mortgage debt on Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac loans would cost the taxpayer-funded companies almost $100 billion, their regulator said.   The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) said that as of June 30, the companies guaranteed nearly 3 million mortgages on single- family homes that are underwater, or worth less than the loans they secure.  “FHFA estimates that principal forgiveness for all of these mortgages would require funding of almost $100 billion,” FHFA Acting Director Edward J. DeMarco said in a Jan. 20 letter to Representative Elijah Cummings, a Maryland Democrat who had threatened to subpoena the information. The FHFA posted the letter on its website today.  Nearly 80% of the Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac borrowers with negative equity were current on their payments, DeMarco said.

DeMarco, whose agency was created by Congress to minimize losses at Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac and is independent of President Barack Obama’s administration, has maintained that principal forgiveness would increase the size of the government’s bailout of the companies, which have cost taxpayers more than $153 billion since they were taken under government control in 2008.  The agency compared the cost of principal forgiveness to the companies’ current practice of forbearance, which allows delinquent borrowers to defer payments.  “Given that any money spent on this endeavor would ultimately come from taxpayers and given that our analysis does not indicate a preservation of assets for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (FMCC) substantial enough to offset costs, an expenditure of this nature at this time would, in my judgment, require congressional action,” he said.

WSJ – EU tries to revive Greek talks

European Union finance ministers today piled pressure on Greece and its private-sector creditors to do more to ensure that a proposed deal to restructure Greece’s private-sector debt will be enough to put the country back on a firm fiscal footing.  The International Monetary Fund (IMF) and the euro zone’s four triple-A-rated countries-—Germany, the Netherlands, Finland and Luxembourg—are pushing for a low average interest rate on new bonds to be issued as part of the restructuring, in order to ensure the government can pay its debts in the future.  But as they were heading to a meeting Tuesday, EU finance ministers also urged Greece to implement tough austerity and structural reforms and provide more written assurances to its partners that it would commit to its pledges before further aid can be released.  Austrian Finance Minister Maria Fekter said she’s “not pleased” with progress so far. “We’re sending a very direct message to Greece that the community expects more, also in terms of structural reform,” she told reporters. “We’re not pleased and only when there’s a written message on the table in front of us, can further assistance be discussed.”

Greece’s debt restructuring is planned to take the form of a bond exchange in which creditors holding some €200 billion ($260.32 billion) in debt would swap their securities for new instruments with half the face value. The key sticking point is how much interest the new bonds should pay.  The restructuring is part and parcel of the second bailout program for Greece amounting to €130 billion. Without this loan, Greece will default on a €14.4 billion bond maturing March 20.  But talks in Athens with the Institute of International Finance, which represents the majority of Greece’s private-sector creditors, have dragged on for three weeks and stalled over the weekend. Private-sector creditors said in a final offer that they won’t accept an average interest rate of less than 4%.  The IMF voiced concerns yesterday that the deal being discussed by Greece and the creditors would leave the country with a higher-than-expected debt burden in the years ahead, people familiar with the matter said.  That sets up a difficult choice: press bondholders to accept more losses, or accept that Greece’s peers and the IMF will have to kick in more support.

Olick – foreclosure investors a double edged sword

“The best and most expeditious way to clear the vast inventory of foreclosed properties weighing down today’s housing market is to get more investors in and sell them these properties at bulk discounts.  That’s what the Obama administration and Federal regulators are currently considering for the thousands of homes currently owned by Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac and the FHA.  While big private equity funds are still largely in a very tedious deal-making stage with banks or waiting on the sidelines for a government program, smaller individual investors are getting in. Nearly 23% of home purchases in December were by investors, according to a new survey from Campbell/Inside Mortgage Finance. That is a slight increase from November, but the share has remained largely unchanged for the past year.  What has changed dramatically is how many of these investors are using all-cash…74% according to the survey, which also found that, ‘cash buyers are able to bid significantly lower—and successfully—on many properties because they offer a shorter and more reliable closing timeline.’ That is precisely what mortgage servicers want.

‘While investor bids may not be the first offers accepted, they often end up winning properties after other homebuyers are eliminated because of mortgage approval or timeline problems,’ according to the survey authors. ‘Appraisals below the contracted price are a common reason for mortgage denials. Most mortgage financing timelines are now in excess of 30 days.’  There has been a lot of concern among industry analysts that bulk foreclosure sales would push home prices down further, but it appears that is already happening, as investors usually offer 10-20% below list price, while first time home buyers and current homeowners are generally offering list. If the offers are competitive, cash will prevail.”

See you at the top!
Chris McLaughlin

**************

Copyright Loss Mitigation Institute LLC 2011.
All Rights Reserved.

http://www.shortsalesriches.com

http://www.shortsalescoach.com

http://www.sixfigurebpo.com

http://www.reomillionaireclub.com

http://www.youtube.com/shortsalesriches

http://www.smartrealestatenews.com

(subscribe to this newsletter)

*************************************************

About the author:
Chris McLaughlin is widely known as America’s top
Real Estate Attorney and Investment Consultant.

* As the top Florida foreclosure and pre-
foreclosure expert, he oversees more than
100 short sale & REO closings each month

* Long-time authority on real estate investing
and rapid reselling of distressed homes.  Owns
portfolio of nearly 150 high-value, high-profit
properties

* Owner of one of Florida’s largest Real Estate firms,
running 4 different offices, supporting over
420 agents, uniquely positioning him to help
thousands of investors make money in the
biggest market opportunity ever!

* In 2010, Chris’ 4 Central Florida real estate offices
closed 2,786 sides for a closed sales volume of
$392,912,927!

* Highly sought-after speaker, consultant, and
seminar leader for current trends and hot topics
in Real Estate Investing, Entrepreneurship, and
Wealth Building

* Follow me on Twitter: http://twitter.com/mclaughlinchris
* Join my Facebook Fan Page: http://www.mclaughlinchris.com

Smart Real Estate News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin January 23, 2012

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Existing home sales up

The National Association of Realtors said Friday that sales increased 5% last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 4.61 million, the best level since January 2011 and the third straight monthly increase. For the year, sales totaled only 4.26 million. While that’s up from 4.19 million the previous year, it’s below the 6 million that economists equate with healthy housing markets. Sales are increasing at a time when the market is flashing other positive signs. Mortgage rates are at record-low levels. Homebuilders have grown slightly less pessimistic because more people are saying they might be open to buying a home this year. And home construction picked up in the final quarter of last year. The median sales price rose 2.3% to $164,500 in December. Still the housing market has a long way to go before it is fully recovered from the housing bust four years ago. In the last four years, home sales have slumped under the weight of foreclosures, tighter credit and falling price. Fewer first-time buyers, who are critical to a housing recovery, are in the market for a home. Purchases by that group fell last month to make up only 31% of sales. That’s down from 35% in November. In healthy markets, first-time buyers make up at least 40%. At the same time, homes at risk of foreclosure made up a third of all sales last month. In healthy markets, they comprise 10% of sales. Investors are increasingly buying homes priced under $100,000. Still, Sales rose across the country in December. They increased on a seasonal basis by more than 10% in the Northeast, 8.3% in the Midwest, 2.9% in the South and 2.6% in the West. The glut of unsold homes declined to 2.38 million homes. At last month’s sales pace, it would take a nearly 7 months to clear those homes. Analysts say a healthy supply can be cleared in about six months.

US and Europe to face more ratings cuts?

The string of sovereign debt downgrades in recent months could be just the beginning. The US, Europe—even Germany—could face further ratings cuts over the next three years, according to a lengthy analysis this week by Citigroup. The European Union got a slight reprieve late Friday as Standard & Poor’s backed it’s triple-A/A-1+ rating on the EU. It had been under review and at risk of a downgrade. The outlook remains “negative.” In announcing its decision, S&P said the EU “benefits from multiple layers of debt-service protection sufficient to offset the current deterioration we see in member states’ creditworthiness.” The US is at the top of Citi’s list for possible downgrades because its debt and deficit troubles are unlikely to be resolved with the political infighting in Washington. Some of the other usual suspects also are on Citi’s list – the European peripheral nations in particular such as Greece and Spain. But even mighty Germany, seen as the continent’s most secure economy, could face a downgrade as the sovereign debt crisis escalates and a European recession spreads through the region. “We expect a string of further ratings downgrades for advanced-economy sovereign debt, and do not expect any ratings upgrades,” Citi analysts Michael Saunders and Mark Schofield wrote. That includes American debt, which Standard & Poor’s downgraded in August in a move that set off a more than 600-point one-day selloff in the Dow industrials.

Citi said it is keeping its outlook unchanged on US debt in the near term but sees trouble looming for the American rating over the next two to three years. Indeed, the list of potential downgrades is ominous and serves as a reminder that while the US equity markets seem conveniently to have forgotten about the world’s debt troubles, some stern and punitive reminders are on the way. Further downgrades for the US, and the initial downgrade for Germany, could be a few years away. But in the next six months, the ratings agencies are likely again to start rattling their sabers, starting with the declaration of a Greek default that is approaching a near-certainty in March. In fact, in the next six months, Citi expects Moody’s to cut ratings for Italy, Spain, Portugal and Greece, with the nascent recovery in Ireland allowing it to be the only one of the “PIIGS” nations to escape the downgrade scalpel. Additionally, France and Austria are deemed likely for a “negative outlook,” while Greece will be placed into either “selective default” or “outright default.” Going out further, the next two to three years are likely to see downgrades not only to the US but also to Japan, France, Italy, Spain, Austria, Belgium, Finland, the Netherlands and Portugal.

DSNews.com – FHA steps up lender requirements
The Federal Housing Administration (FHA) on Friday announced new measures to strengthen standards for the lenders it works with – measures the agency says will help it better manage the risk that comes with insuring mortgages against default. The new regulations institute tighter requirements for lenders authorized to insure mortgages on the agency’s behalf under the Lender Insurance mortgagee program.FHA says these institutions will be required to meet stricter performance standards to obtain and maintain their approval status. More than 80% of all FHA forward mortgages are insured through lenders participating in the Lender Insurance program. FHA’s second mortgagee program – the Direct Endorsement program – requires the agency’s approval for endorsement. In order to be eligible to participate in the FHA single-family programs as a Lender Insurance mortgagee, a lender must be an unconditionally approved Direct Endorsement mortgagee that is high performing. Under the new rule, a Lender Insurance mortgagee must demonstrate a two-year seriously delinquent and claim rate at or below 150% of the aggregate rate for the states in which the lender does business. HUD and FHA will review Lender Insurance mortgagee performance on an ongoing basis to ensure participating lenders continue to meet the program’s eligibility standards. The new rule also establishes a process by which new HUD-approved lenders created through corporate mergers, acquisitions, or reorganizations may be considered for Lender Insurance authority. In addition, FHA has shored up its processes for requiring lenders to cover potential losses from insurance claims paid on mortgages that involve fraud or that are found not to meet the agency’s underwriting guidelines, which could force lenders to buy back more defaulted loans. For those loans insured by Lender Insurance lenders, HUD may require indemnification for “serious and material” violations of FHA origination requirements and for fraud and misrepresentation. In a separate notice to be published soon, FHA plans to propose to reduce the maximum amount allowed for seller concessions, in which the seller contributes a share of the purchase price toward the buyer’s closing costs.

FHA says it will bring the maximum allowable amount to a level more in line with industry norms. The current level exposes FHA to excess risk by creating incentives to inflate appraised value, the agency explained in a press statement. FHA says these measures will help to protect and strengthen its Mutual Mortgage Insurance Fund, which has fallen below the level mandated by Congress, while enabling the agency to continue to fulfill its mission of providing qualified borrowers with access to homeownership. “Taken together, the changes announced today will protect FHA’s insurance fund from unnecessary and inappropriate risks while offering clear guidance to lenders regarding HUD’s underwriting expectations,” said Carol J. Galante, FHA’s acting commissioner. “FHA must continue to strike a balance between managing risks to its insurance funds and ensuring that FHA products are offered as widely as possible to qualified borrowers,” Galante continued. “We hope that the added clarity and certainty provided through these rules will enable lenders to extend financing opportunities to larger numbers of American families.”

Growth but few jobs

The National Association for Business Economics’ industry survey found that two-thirds of respondents expected no change in employment at their companies over the first half of the year. That was the highest share in recent quarters. Although the US jobless rate fell to a near three-year low of 8.5% in December, fewer businesses said they would hire more workers, compared with the previous industry poll. The survey, which was conducted between December 15 2011, and January 5 2012, found that 65% of respondents expect gross domestic product growth to exceed 2% between the fourth quarter of last year and the last quarter of 2012. That was higher than the 1.6% growth rate economists polled by Reuters found. About two-thirds of the companies surveyed said the European debt crisis would have little impact on their sales over the first half the year, while 27% of respondents said they expected to see a decline in sales of 10% or less.

CMBS delinquency rate higher than 9% in 2011

The delinquency rate of loans in commercial mortgage-backed securities (CMBS) bounced higher in December and remained above 9% all year. Delinquency rates were mixed across the five commercial property types in December with hotel and multifamily rates declining while office, retail and industrial rose. Moody’s Investors Service said the rate rose to 9.32% last month from 9.27% in November and from 8.79% a year earlier. The ratings agency said there were $3.7 billion of newly delinquent loans in December, including Bank of America Plaza in Atlanta, while $3.5 billion were resolved or worked out. The $1.4 billion of new CMBS deals was more than offset by $5.5 billion of seasoned loan dispositions and payoffs, pushing the CMBS universe to $582.8 billion, analysts said. The $363 million loan that went into arrears in Atlanta is the seventh largest delinquent loan overall, according to Moody’s. The delinquent rate in the hotel sector fell to 12.96% from 13.54% a month earlier, while multifamily declined to 14.44% from 14.88%, which remains the highest rate among the core asset classes, Moody’s said. Retail delinquencies rose to 7.22% from 6.97% in November; industrial climbed to 12.09% from 11.5%; and office increased to 8.65% from 8.39%. Moody’s specially serviced loan tracker fell to 11.97% in December from 12.1% the prior month.

See you at the top!
Chris McLaughlin

**************

Copyright Loss Mitigation Institute LLC 2011.
All Rights Reserved.

http://www.shortsalesriches.com

http://www.shortsalescoach.com

http://www.sixfigurebpo.com

http://www.reomillionaireclub.com

http://www.youtube.com/shortsalesriches

http://www.smartrealestatenews.com

(subscribe to this newsletter)

*************************************************

About the author:
Chris McLaughlin is widely known as America’s top
Real Estate Attorney and Investment Consultant.

* As the top Florida foreclosure and pre-
foreclosure expert, he oversees more than
100 short sale & REO closings each month

* Long-time authority on real estate investing
and rapid reselling of distressed homes. Owns
portfolio of nearly 150 high-value, high-profit
properties

* Owner of one of Florida’s largest Real Estate firms,
running 4 different offices, supporting over
420 agents, uniquely positioning him to help
thousands of investors make money in the
biggest market opportunity ever!

* In 2010, Chris’ 4 Central Florida real estate offices
closed 2,786 sides for a closed sales volume of
$392,912,927!

* Highly sought-after speaker, consultant, and
seminar leader for current trends and hot topics
in Real Estate Investing, Entrepreneurship, and
Wealth Building

* Follow me on Twitter: http://twitter.com/mclaughlinchris

* Join my Facebook Fan Page: http://www.mclaughlinchris.com

Smart Real Estate News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin January 4, 2012

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************************************************************

Short sales surged in second quarter: RealtyTrac

Second-quarter pre-foreclosure sales jumped 19% from the previous quarter, suggesting more banks and distressed borrowers are searching for efficient ways to offload properties that are near foreclosure, RealtyTrac said. Third parties acquired 102,407 pre-foreclosures in the second quarter, while 162,680 bank-owned homes were sold in the same period. Pre-foreclosure sales are generally short sales and properties sold within the foreclosure process. As for who is nabbing up distressed and bank-owned properties, RealtyTrac said third parties acquired 265,087 homes classified as in foreclosure or bank-owned in the second quarter. That is up 6% from the revised first quarter figure and down 11% from the second quarter of last year. The average sales price for foreclosures or bank-owned properties hit $164,217 in 2Q, down less than one percent from 1Q and 5% from the second quarter of 2010.  The sales price for distressed real estate was 32% below the average sales price of homes not in foreclosure. States with the largest quarterly increase in pre-foreclosure home sales included Nevada, which experienced a 43% increase; Washington (39%), California (38%); and Texas (34%). The states with the highest number of foreclosure sales included Nevada, Arizona and California.

Budget Deficit Estimate Cut to $1.28 Trillion: CBO

The federal budget deficit will hit $1.28 trillion this year, down slightly from the previous two years, with even bigger savings to come over the next decade, according to congressional projections released Wednesday.  The nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office says budget deficits will be reduced by a total $3.3 trillion over the next decade, largely because of the deficit reduction package passed by Congress earlier this month. Nevertheless, the federal budget will continue to be awash in red ink for years to come. Even with the savings, budget deficits will total nearly $3.5 trillion over the next decade—more if Bush-era tax cuts scheduled to expire at the end of 2012 are extended.  There is more bad news in the report: CBO projects only modest economic growth over the next few years, with the unemployment rate falling only slightly by the end of 2012. The agency projects an unemployment rate of 8.5 percent for the last four months of 2012. The presidential election is in November of that year.

“The United States is facing profound budgetary and economic challenges,” the new CBO report says. “With modest economic growth anticipated for the next few years, CBO expects employment to expand slowly.” Failure to pass a package would trigger $1.2 trillion in automatic spending cuts, affecting the Pentagon as well as domestic programs.  The new CBO report projects that the legislation will reduce deficits by a total of $2.1 trillion over the next decade. The agency also projects savings of $600 billion over the next decade from lower interest rates.

Diana Olick: Higher-End Housing Hits a Wall

Most of America won’t shed a tear for those who own higher-priced homes, especially given that the median home price in the nation has now fallen to just $174,000, but investors and homeowners alike should take note: Higher priced homes are taking a hit and the outlook for them is worse than the overall market.  That will have ramifications for recovery.  Despite the fact that just eight percent of US loans are currently jumbo, according to Inside Mortgage Finance, and that share will rise to just 10-12 percent when the conforming loan limit is lowered October 1st, high-end housing is already being hit harder than the overall market, which isn’t exactly doing so well itself. For one, weekly mortgage applications to purchase a home have been falling steadily, down 5.7 percent last week. But jumbo loan purchase applications fell 15 percent.

While sales of homes below $250,000 rose nearly 25 percent in July year over year according to the National Association of Realtors (June 2010 was the end of the home buyer tax credit, so July 2010 was artificially low, still….) sales of homes over $500,000 were basically flat.  Demand on the low end of the housing market is boosted by investors largely buying distressed properties; they either fix up and flip the homes or rent them out, waiting for the market to recover. Higher end homes have far fewer investors and may be more sensitive to a volatile stock market, as potential buyers are more likely to be invested there. Suffice it to say, we need all segments of the housing market pushing forward in order to get the full market back to health.

Markets not impacted by rise in jobless claims

Initial jobless claims rose last week, increasing by 5,000 filings for a total of 417,000 claims on a seasonally adjusted basis. That is up from the previous week’s revised figure of 403,500 claims. The Labor Department noted the numbers for the week ending Aug. 20 were impacted by 8,500 claims stemming from a labor dispute between the Communications Workers of America and Verizon Communications. Meanwhile, the advance seasonally adjusted insured unemployment rate hit 2.9% for the week ending Aug. 13, a slight decrease from the previous week’s revised rate of 3% Despite recent volatility in the stock market, analysts with Econoday said Thursday the markets “are showing little reaction to the report, which outside of the Verizon strike, points to mildly improving conditions in the labor market.”

Pre-Foreclosure Short Sales Jump 19% in Second Quarter

Short sales shot up 19 percent between the first and second quarters, with 102,407 transactions completed during the April-to-June period, according to RealtyTrac. Over the same timeframe, a total of 162,680 bank-owned REO homes sold to third parties, virtually unchanged from the first quarter. RealtyTrac’s study also found that the time to complete a short sale is down, while the time it takes to sell an REO has increased. Pre-foreclosure short sales took an average of 245 days to sell after receiving the initial foreclosure notice during the second quarter, RealtyTrac says. That’s down from an average of 256 days in the first quarter and follows three straight quarters in which the sales cycle has increased.  Nationally, REOs had an average sales price of $145,211, a discount of nearly 40 percent below the average sales price of non-distressed homes. The REO discount was 36 percent in the previous quarter and 34 percent in the second quarter of 2010.  Together, REOs and short sales accounted for 31 percent of all U.S. residential sales in the second quarter, RealtyTrac reports. That’s down from nearly 36 percent of all sales in the first quarter but up from 24 percent of all sales in the second quarter of 2010.

See you at the top!

Chris McLaughlin

**************

Copyright Loss Mitigation Institute LLC 2011.

All Rights Reserved.

http://www.shortsalesriches.com

http://www.shortsalescoach.com

http://www.sixfigurebpo.com

http://www.reomillionaireclub.com

http://www.youtube.com/shortsalesriches

http://www.smartrealestatenews.com

(subscribe to this newsletter)

*************************************************

About the author:

Chris McLaughlin is widely known as America’s top

Real Estate Attorney and Investment Consultant.

* As the top Florida foreclosure and pre-

foreclosure expert, he oversees more than

100 short sale & REO closings each month

* Long-time authority on real estate investing

and rapid reselling of distressed homes.  Owns

portfolio of nearly 150 high-value, high-profit

properties

* Owner of one of Florida’s largest Real Estate firms,

running 4 different offices, supporting over

420 agents, uniquely positioning him to help

thousands of investors make money in the

biggest market opportunity ever!

* In 2010, Chris’ 4 Central Florida real estate offices

closed 2,786 sides for a closed sales volume of

$392,912,927!

* Highly sought-after speaker, consultant, and

seminar leader for current trends and hot topics

in Real Estate Investing, Entrepreneurship, and

Wealth Building

* Follow me on Twitter: http://twitter.com/mclaughlinchris

* Join my Facebook Fan Page: http://www.mclaughlinchris.com

Smart Real Estate News & Commentary by Chris McLaughlin December 23, 2011

Forward this e-mail to your friends!

Then they can subscribe directly at the following link:

http://www.smartrealestatenews.com/

*** Join Chris’ Facebook Fan Page–>

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Governors signs new foreclosure laws

A law signed into effect this week will regulate the foreclosure industry and require foreclosure consultants to be licensed by the state Department of Banking and Insurance. Governor Chris Christie signed the Foreclosure Rescue Fraud Prevention Act on Tuesday.  In the scams, “counselors” would, for high upfront fees, claim to raise a homeowner’s credit rating or change the terms of their existing mortgage, or sign over a deed to someone who promises to rent back the residence and in the future sell it back to the original owner. The companies would then take out additional mortgages on the properties without the homeowners’ knowledge, and in some cases falsify information on the loan application.

The homeowners lose their fees, any equity they have built in the house and frequently ownership of the house itself.  Under the law, the foreclosure consultants are prohibited from collecting any fees — and are limited from charging excessive rates — before completing the terms of the written contract and securing relief for the homeowner. The consultant companies must also post a bond with the state before conducting business, and are subject to a $10,000 fine for the first offense and $20,000 for each subsequent offense.  The bill initially passed both the state Senate and Assembly in June. But Governor Chris Christie conditionally vetoed it over concerns a stipulation that would require distressed properties to be sold for 82% of their fair market value because it could inadvertently affect nearly all distressed home sales. Now, the law states that only those sales involving participation with foreclosure consultants qualify.

Governor Rick Snyder of Michigan also signed a series of bills that clarify and improve the pre-foreclosure and foreclosure process and will help keep Michigan residents in their homes. It is a bipartisan legislative package that passed both chambers unanimously.  “This legislation helps protect families and ensures the stability of Michigan communities,” said Snyder. “When foreclosures are prevented, homes are not vacated, families are not displaced and townships, cities and counties do not lose the tax base provided by home ownership.” In September 2011, there was one foreclosure filing for every 149 homes in Michigan. Michigan also had the seventh highest foreclosure rates and foreclosure filing totals in the US  The related bills signed Thursday include House Bill 4542, 4543, and 4544, which are now Public Acts 301, 302 and 303.  Lenders are now required to provide written notice that includes a list of housing counselors when foreclosure proceedings begin so homeowners can seek immediate advice. Also, additional time has been added so homeowners can potentially arrange for loan modifications in order to prevent foreclosure.  The legislation also removes the mandate to publish pre-foreclosure notices in newspapers to help prevent homeowners from being solicited by foreclosure rescue and mortgage modification scams.

Obama’s hand forced on Keystone pipeline

President Obama will be required to make a decision on the Keystone pipeline project now that Congress appears to have worked out a deal to extend the payroll-tax cut.  The tax cut bill includes language that would require Obama to make a decision on the pipeline, now stalled in the approval process, in 60 days.  The Canada-to-Texas oil sands pipeline, which would run down the spine of the country, is strongly supported by Republicans and the oil industry but loathed by many Democrats.  Keystone XL pipeline would move oil sands crude from the western Canadian province of Alberta 1,661 miles2,673 km, to Port Arthur, Texas. In between, it would cross Saskatchewan, Montana, South Dakota, Nebraska, Oklahoma and Texas.  The $7 billion project, which involves linking up with an existing network, would feed 700,000 barrels a day of oil to various destinations, but chiefly to refineries in the US Gulf Coast. The line could also help drain growing oil supplies from the booming Bakken shale oil field in North Dakota.  Keystone XL received Canadian approval in March 2010, but the US State Department, which had been widely expected to approve the project by year-end, said in November it needs to study new routes. That effectively delayed its decision past the 2012 US presidential election.  Obama was accused of punting after facing grassroots opposition to the project from an important segment of his base, the environmental lobby.

Republicans in the House of Representatives, incensed that the White House was turning its back on a job-creating project, introduced language in the payroll tax cut extension bill to force Obama to make a decision on the pipeline. The Democratic-led Senate agreed, including language in its bill.  The project would improve US energy security. These include the Canadian government, the oil industry, some US Republican lawmakers and politicians of all stripes from energy-producing states, as well as unions such as the Teamsters.  TransCanada has said the project, which will result in the most advanced pipeline ever built, will create 20,000 jobs in the United States at a time of high unemployment.  Getting more oil from Canada, already the largest US crude supplier, would reduce reliance on the Middle East and could make up for expected future shortfalls from Mexico and Venezuela.

Foreclosures up 21%

Mortgage delinquencies stabilized in the third quarter, though new foreclosures jumped 21.1% from last quarter according to the Office of the Comptroller of the Currency.  The OCC said mortgage servicers “lifted voluntarily moratoria implemented in late 2010,” when the robo-signing controversy initially came to light. Newly initiated foreclosures, however, declined 11.8% from third quarter 2010.  Foreclosures in process made up about 4.1%, or 1.3 million loans, of the overall mortgage portfolio measured by the OCC. That’s up 0.5% from the second quarter and 7.6% from a year earlier.  First-lien mortgages current and performing changed little in the third quarter, down 0.1 percentage points to 88% of all loans in the OCC portfolio. Those loans made up about 87.5% of the portfolio a year ago.  Modifications declined 8.5% from the second quarter to about 138,000. That includes a 23% drop in mods through the Home Affordable Modification Program.  Third-quarter modifications reduced monthly principal and interest payments by 24.4%, or $382. HAMP mods cut payments by 35.1%, or $567.  The OCC report includes about 62%, or 32.4 million, of all first-lien mortgages in the US worth $5.6 trillion in outstanding balances.

Spending and incomes weak

Consumer spending rose just 0.1% in November, matching the modest October increase, the Commerce Department reported today. Incomes also rose 0.1%. That was the weakest showing since a 0.1% decline in August.  Both the spending and income gains fell below expectations. Economists have said that solid increases in spending could boost economic growth in the final three months of what has been a disappointing year.  Paul Ashworth, chief US economist at Capital Economics, called the consumer spending figure disappointing. He said it would probably mean lower economic growth than had been expected.  Rather than grow at an annual rate of up to 3% in the October-December quarter, the economy will likely expand at a rate of about 2.5% this quarter, Ashworth says. That would still be an improvement from the 1.8% growth in the July-September quarter.  The weakness in incomes reflected a decline in wages and salaries, the biggest component of incomes, in November.  The sluggish gain in spending was held back by a 0.3% fall in spending on non-durable goods such as food, clothing and gasoline. Spending on durable goods jumped 0.8%. It reflected the solid auto sales during the month.  Spending on services, which includes such items as medical treatments and rent, rose a modest 0.1%.  After-tax incomes showed no growth in November.

The savings rate dipped to 3.5% of after-tax incomes, down from 3.6% in October. Both months marked the lowest savings rate since late 2007. They show that consumers are having to tap their savings to finance their spending because of the weak income growth.  The small rise in overall consumer spending was puzzling given that other reports have shown solid holiday shopping this season. Those reports had caused many economists to revise up their growth forecasts for the current quarter.  Analysts at JPMorgan think the economy is growing at an annual rate of 3.5% in the current October-December quarter. That would be up from 1.8% growth in the July-September quarter and would be the best quarterly gain since the spring of 2010.  Economists still expect that growth to be driven by an improvement in consumer spending, which accounts for 70% of economic activity. Spending rose at a 1.7% rate in the third quarter, more than double the second-quarter gain. JPMorgan analysts expect consumer spending to grow at a 3% pace in the current quarter.  Even with the spurt of activity at the end of the year, economists think growth for all of 2011 will be a lackluster 1.7%.

Home prices dip in October

Home prices dropped 0.2% in October from the previous month, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) said yesterday.  The agency’s seasonally adjusted house price index decreased 2.8% from a year ago. The September measure was adjusted lower to a 0.4% increase from an initial 0.9% reading.  The home price index, calculated using data from Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac mortgages, rose 0.2% in the third quarter on a seasonally adjusted basis.  October prices were 19.2% lower than the April 2007 peak for the index and are at levels comparable to February 2004.  Only two regions, as measured by the FHFA, saw yearly increases, albeit minimal. Prices rose 0.7% collectively in Arkansas, Louisiana, Oklahoma and Texas, and inched higher by 0.1% in Alabama, Kentucky, Mississippi and Tennessee.  Values dipped the most from October 2010 at 5.5% in the Pacific region, made up of Alaska, California, Hawaii, Oregon and Washington.  The FHFA is the regulator and conservator for Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac.

Banks ready for Euro-crisis?

Banks in the United States are expected to survive any type of financial crisis brought on by the euro in 2012, Capital Economics said yesterday.  But the Fed is prepared to step in and prevent any meltdown akin to Lehman Brothers, if Europe’s troubles began washing up stateside, according to analysts at the Toronto-based firm.  The central bank “has a number of liquidity facilities that were established during the financial crisis that it can restart at a moment’s notice if banks need short-term cash,” analysts Paul Ashworth and Paul Dales wrote in a Capital Economics report.  “Indeed, through the currency swaps with other central banks re-established at the end of November, the Fed is already helping to provide dollars to European banks,” they said.  The good news is banks have increased overall lending since March, Capital Economics said. Even foreign banks are getting into the act, boosting lending in America at a faster rate than domestic banks. One indication of trouble would be a pull bank in lending.  “Any sign that they are turning south again would be troubling,” the research firm wrote.

Still, Capital Economics does not expect banks to suffer through any euro crisis. The analysts expect US GDP growth to slow to 1.5% next year, not on euro-zone concerns, but on shaky US consumer confidence.  “The modest slowdown in economic growth that we expect next year has more to do with less support from fiscal policy and a belief that consumption won’t continue to grow at a faster rate than incomes,” Ashworth and Dales wrote.  The analysts said US banks do not hold a large share of assets in the eurozone and possess an even smaller share in European countries that are in deep trouble. Still, the analysts are watching US bank stocks and earnings to ensure their capital is not shaken by shocks in the global financial system.

See you at the top!

Chris McLaughlin

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About the author:

Chris McLaughlin is widely known as America’s top

Real Estate Attorney and Investment Consultant.

* As the top Florida foreclosure and pre-

foreclosure expert, he oversees more than

100 short sale & REO closings each month

* Long-time authority on real estate investing

and rapid reselling of distressed homes.  Owns

portfolio of nearly 150 high-value, high-profit

properties

* Owner of one of Florida’s largest Real Estate firms,

running 4 different offices, supporting over

420 agents, uniquely positioning him to help

thousands of investors make money in the

biggest market opportunity ever!

* In 2010, Chris’ 4 Central Florida real estate offices

closed 2,786 sides for a closed sales volume of

$392,912,927!

* Highly sought-after speaker, consultant, and

seminar leader for current trends and hot topics

in Real Estate Investing, Entrepreneurship, and

Wealth Building

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